元旦节后,国内建筑钢材市场价格逐渐小幅上涨,市场需求依然较好,而钢厂发货量不大,导致市场部分规格紧张,部分商家惜售,而成本依然高位,加上商家对后期预期较好,一些中小户有冬储的现象,都导致市场价格呈稳中上涨的态势。
一、建筑钢材社会库存年同比小幅下降
今年国内建筑钢材库存上半年一直处在较高水平,8月份开始各地开始陆续有限电限产政策出台,从10月份底国内建筑钢材库存开始有小幅下降,到12月年底,国内建筑钢材库存较去年同期有小幅的下降。据兰格钢铁网数据监控显示,截止到12月31日,国内29个重点城市建筑钢材库存总量在551.12万吨,月同比增长5.64%,年同比降幅1.78%。从国内整体库存量来看,南方的重点城市的库存较去年下降的较为明显,反映出北方钢厂向南方发货资源不多,同时南方市场需求还比较旺盛,去库存化的现象有所显现。同时市场价格偏高,抑制了部分商家冬储的意愿,商家观望浓厚,冬储量不大。
二、市场需求依然较好
2011年实现1000万套保障性住房建设规模,比今年的580万套,增长72.4%,将营造一个巨大的建筑钢材市场。
钢贸商对今年的房地产业对钢材需求情况看好,除了保障性住房建设外,“十二五”期间,房地产调控力度将不会放松。预计10%-20%的投资增幅情况下,2011年全国房地产投资规模将达到5万亿元的规模。因此明年的房地产业依然是国内钢材需求的一大亮点。
三、成本的支撑依然明显
据悉铁矿石一季度协议矿价格涨幅可能在7%左右、煤焦、钢坯价格依然呈现上涨趋势,支撑钢材成本上升。目前高成本的压力日趋加大,将成为支撑岁末年初钢材市场价格难以大幅下跌。钢铁原料市场价格持续攀升,铁矿石、焦炭、废钢、油、电、运等价格都在上涨,国内煤炭市场价格创去年冬季以来的新高,国际国内铁矿石市场价格高位运行。而时下美元贬值和全球流动性泛滥,使得铁矿石成为重要的资源炒作对象,澳元的强势升值也为矿价上涨提供重要推动力。2011年一季度铁矿石价格继续上涨,这些都将使钢材的生产成本持续上升,钢厂的效益受到影响,出厂价格下调的可能性不大,也将支撑市场价格难以大幅下跌。
nth="1" Year="2011">1月12日 各地钢材市场价格行情
normal align=center>品名
normal align=center>规格
normal align=center>材质
normal align=center>钢厂/产地
normal align=center>现款含税价(元/吨)
normal align=center>涨跌幅(与上期相比)
normal align=center>上海造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5550
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5350
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5200
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5100
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>14
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5050
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>重庆造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>马钢、鞍钢
normal align=center>4920
normal align=center>↑60
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>武钢
normal align=center>4940
normal align=center>↑60
normal align=center>济南造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB/ZYB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5400
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB/ZYB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5250
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB/ZYB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5150
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB/ZYB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>4960
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>福州造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>鞍钢/韶钢
normal align=center>5550
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>14
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>韶钢/新钢
normal align=center>5400
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>宁波造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>唐钢
normal align=center>5080
normal align=center>↑80
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>唐钢
normal align=center>5030
normal align=center>↑80
normal align=center>14
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>唐钢/马钢
normal align=center>4980
normal align=center>↑80
normal align=center>天津造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5500
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5350
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5250
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5060
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>14
normal align=center>CCSB
normal align=center>济钢
normal align=center>5100
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>广州造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCS
normal align=center>韶钢
normal align=center>5800
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCS
normal align=center>韶钢/新钢
normal align=center>5470/5460
normal align=center>↑90/100
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCS
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5290
normal align=center>↑150
normal align=center>14
normal align=center>CCS
normal align=center>新钢
normal align=center>5180
normal align=center>↑140
normal align=center>武汉造船板
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>武钢
normal align=center>4800
normal align=center>↑80
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>武钢
normal align=center>4800
normal align=center>↑80
normal align=center>
normal align=center>CCSA
normal align=center>武钢
normal align=center>4780
normal align=center>↑80
nth="1" Year="2011">1月12日 各地废钢价格行情
normal align=center>地区
normal align=center>品名
normal align=center>规格
normal align=center>钢厂/产地
normal align=center>价格(元/吨)
normal align=center>涨跌
normal align=center>备注
normal align=center>辽宁
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>
normal align=center>抚顺
normal align=center>3000-3050
normal align=center>↑130
normal align=center>不含税
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>大连
normal align=center>3150
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>含税采购价
normal align=center>中废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>大连
normal align=center>3050
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>含税采购价
normal align=center>浙江
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>
normal align=center>浙江杭州
normal align=center>2888
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>到手价
normal align=center>中废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>浙江台州
normal align=center>2830-2850
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>现金价
normal align=center>统废
normal align=center>-
normal align=center>浙江台州
normal align=center>2800-2830
normal align=center>↑20
normal align=center>现金价
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>-
normal align=center>浙江宁波
normal align=center>2800-2850
normal align=center>↑50
normal align=center>市场价
normal align=center>福建
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>-
normal align=center>三宝
normal align=center>3150
normal align=center>↑140
normal align=center>不含税
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>-
normal align=center>三明
normal align=center>3330
normal align=center>↑160
normal align=center>含税价
normal align=center>广东
normal align=center>中废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>广州
normal align=center>3250
normal align=center>↑100
normal align=center>含税价
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>韶关
normal align=center>3150
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>市内采购价
normal align=center>中废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>韶关
normal align=center>3150
normal align=center>―
normal align=center>带票价
normal align=center>江苏
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>>
normal align=center>苏钢
normal align=center>3500
normal align=center>↑250
normal align=center>含税到厂价
normal align=center>重废
normal align=center>
normal align=center>南通宝日
normal align=center>3410
normal align=center>↑250
normal align=center>含税到厂价
normal align=center>中废
normal align=center>
normal align=center>南通宝日
normal align=center>3310
normal align=center>↑250
normal align=center>含税到厂价